Forcing State
Elevation Threshold
Attribution Mode
Actions
Bay Filter
Regime Reference
| Regime + Storm | Rate Ratio |
|---|---|
| High SSH + Storm | 4.58× |
| High SSH + Calm | 3.55× |
| Neutral + Calm | 0.60× (ref) |
| Low + Calm | 0.24× |
Circle color = q (white→orange→red)
Circle size = E[days]
Galveston
Matagorda
Corpus Christi
Upper LM
Lower LM
— Select an island —
Bay system—
Elevation (p50)—
Baseline q (p50)—
Baseline E[days]—
Scenario q (approx)—
Random intercept—
Seasonal exceedance curve p(e,j) — selected island
Shapley attribution |φ̄| — nesting season
Scenario risk — all islands (q at selected threshold)
Risk table
| Island | Bay | p50 q | E[d] | Δ scen. |
|---|